Predictive Analytics Ripe For Healthcare
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The University of California at Irvine now offers a certificate program in predictive analytics. Predictive analytics have been used to help turn baseball programs around and by numerous businesses in order to improve their bottom line. It is time it was adopted by healthcare organizations, at least in this country with all the new regulations being handed out on a daily basis.
Actually, healthcare already uses predictive analytics, at least to some extent, using data analyses of the past performance of certain medicines and medical approaches to various problems. However, there is much more that can be done on a macro level in terms of tracking disease progress and even using social media and other data and trends to predict when outbreaks might be expected.
With education catching up and offering programs specifically in the process of using data to anticipate outcomes, don’t you think it’s time for healthcare to begin looking into the future?
–Warren B. Causey
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Many in healthcare have been using “predictive analytics” for quite some time, for a very diverse range of problems, such as:
o Statistical Process Control to track and evaluate interventions for continual improvement of many aspects of healthcare delivery; to compare (gasp!) outpatient physician performance over time;
o Multiple Linear Regression to estimate potential increase in margins in Division of Surgery due to higher utilizations of the ORs;
o Monte Carlo Simulation to quantify the effects of patient time-in-room and number of patients per day on outpatient clinical exam room utilization;
o Linear Programming to evaluate various ways of (gasp!) maximizing outpatient physician productivity;
o Logistic Regression to develop models to predict likelihood of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Congestive Heart Failure;
o Discrete Event Simulation to optimize resource utilization while maximizing patient throughput; and
o Time-Series Analysis to build models to forecast obstetric patient visits and admissions.
Welcome aboard!
*** Wayne G. Fischer, PhD ***
Thanks Wayne, good examples. Obviously education is still catching up. Thanks for your comment.
Take it one preventive step futrher and encourage & support corporations and businesses to have P.E. sessions, a workout space, or stretch, walk, and balance sessions each day. Our company has adopted allowing us to attend small sessions to benefit our personal selves and it boosts morale through the roof!!!I am a pharmaphobic, a term I’ve coined. Every day I am told to ask my doctor about this, that, or the other drug. And the side-effects. And the let’s try this or that’ attitude. Multi-million dollar business, I’m sure.Doctors who can document a high rate of patient satisfaction (independent surveys) should pay less for mal-practice insurance, and with every year they’ve not had a claim, as well. There are great doctors out there, who give no-nonsense advice and take the time to make an informed treatment plan, rather than being allowed to take fringe benefits from the companies pushing their drugs and getting by with a 4-minute consult and a prescription.Dental care is highly under-evaluated. Far-reaching results of the missing dental care between 18 30 year old people is devastating to overall health! They are just getting started, trying to support a young family or pursue a career, and their mouths are hurting and their teeth are rotting. Why? Because they are in the biggest group of folks who cannot afford dental isurance or even the deductibles. Choosing between gas to go to work, insurance, or food that’s where millions of young adults are.I am most amazed at the results of big pharmaceuticals’ marketing. The masses just eat it up. Take drugs for life. Never mind the side-effects or the outrageous costs. Why market medicine? If it work, doctors will prescribe it. Patients don’t need to be innundated with that, yet they control the media with their huge profits.And what happened to doctor-patient confidentiality? I no longer receive a document with the doctor’s findings. Only a statement’. No explanation.Pacific Source, I have faith in what your initial premise and objectives promised. Make it better! Make Sense! Balance the Benefits!And train people how to take care of common stuff. Cuts down on claims. Cuts down on expenses for those who can’t afford to visit the emegency room for every little owee. Educate!Thanks for this forum. There are solutions. It takes a lot of thought by a lot of people. People not out for ultimate profits and hoping to leave a footprint of having made a difference. It would cost les, really.
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